Valencia vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
HAZ
Valencia 1-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon squeezed past Valencia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valencia at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 8-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Valencia and 1.00 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Valencia vs CD Castellon?
Valencia 1-2 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Valencia 55%, draw 24%, CD Castellon 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valencia) went the other way.