Riga Mariners 1-1 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

Riga Mariners
1-1 HT 0-1
JFK Ventspils
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2026

Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.34
Draw
11%
4.81
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
70%
+9.3pp
11%
Draw
18%
-6.2pp
10%
Away Win
13%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga Mariners v JFK Ventspils — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +21%
2.52/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.82
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga Mariners
2W-0D-1L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.03.2026 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga Mariners LET1
13.09.2025 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-2 HT 1-1 Riga Mariners LET1
03.05.2025 Riga Mariners 1-2 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners and JFK Ventspils couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Riga Mariners carried 79% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Riga Mariners had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Riga Mariners and 1.00 for JFK Ventspils.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils?

Riga Mariners 1-1 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 79%, draw 11%, JFK Ventspils 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga Mariners), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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