Smiltene 3-5 Rigas FS II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.33
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
39%
+7.6pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 42%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.68/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.21
+13% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rigas FS II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
22.03.2026 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 3-3 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
08.11.2025 Smiltene Smiltene 1-1 HT 0-0 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
20.07.2025 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 2-0 HT 1-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
17.08.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
21.04.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 7-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
12.11.2023 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 5-4 HT 3-4 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II beat Smiltene 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Smiltene at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Smiltene and 3.50 for Rigas FS II.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Rigas FS II?

Smiltene 3-5 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Rigas FS II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 47%, draw 16%, Rigas FS II 37%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smiltene) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smiltene) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
25 Jul 2026
16:00 JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova II Analysis →
17:00 Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils Analysis →
18:30 Leevon / PPK vs Skanste Analysis →