Universitario 2-1 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.48/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.07
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
23.8 Crosses 13.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
280 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2026 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
28.09.2025 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 2-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
04.05.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
21.08.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
13.03.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
22.10.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
2-1
AWAY Cusco FC
0.82 xG 0.79
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 385
28 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Cusco FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 0.82 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario and 1.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cusco FC?

Universitario 2-1 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Universitario 65%, draw 19%, Cusco FC 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ BTTS No
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