Buxton 2-3 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.76/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.03
+8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
05.10.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
03.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
19.08.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
07.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
13.08.2022 Buxton Buxton 1-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-3
AWAY Curzon Ashton
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton edged past Buxton 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buxton had 54% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 46%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buxton and 0.83 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Curzon Ashton?

Buxton 2-3 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Buxton 43%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5
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