Curzon Ashton 1-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.43
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Buxton
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
03.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
19.08.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
07.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
13.08.2022 Buxton Buxton 1-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-0
AWAY Buxton
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton edged past Buxton 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 37% of the ball to Buxton's 63%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.20 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Buxton?

Curzon Ashton 1-0 Buxton in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 42%, draw 25%, Buxton 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ BTTS No
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