Buxton 0-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
26%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+5.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.8pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.32
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
19.08.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
07.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
13.08.2022 Buxton Buxton 1-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton edged past Buxton 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Buxton had 51% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 49%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buxton and 0.75 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Curzon Ashton?

Buxton 0-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Buxton 30%, draw 24%, Curzon Ashton 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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