Plymouth Parkway 0-1 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.5pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.92/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.01
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
317 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Poole Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 3-1 HT 2-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
24.09.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
16.04.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
01.04.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
28.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-0 HT 3-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town squeezed past Plymouth Parkway 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Parkway at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.00 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

Plymouth Parkway 0-1 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 44%, draw 24%, Poole Town 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
25 Aug 2025
00:00 Ilkeston Town vs Hyde United Analysis →
00:00 Halesowen Town vs Worcester City Analysis →
00:00 Stamford vs Spalding United Analysis →
17:00 St Ives Town vs Real Bedford Analysis →
17:00 Needham Market vs Leiston Analysis →
17:00 Kettering Town vs Harborough Town Analysis →