Foggia Calcio 1-2 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.74/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.47
+20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
2W-0D-2L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 4-1 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
11.09.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
08.04.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
04.12.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 3-2 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
1-2
AWAY SSC Giugliano
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; SSC Giugliano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 59% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 41%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.75 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs SSC Giugliano?

Foggia Calcio 1-2 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 40%, draw 29%, SSC Giugliano 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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