Brentford 3-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

Brentford
3-2 HT 2-1
Liverpool
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.65
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
8%
8.3
X/2
13%
4.76
X/X
7%
5.85
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
29%
2.42
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.65 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brentford v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 55%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.52/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.48
+42% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
17.1 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Brentford vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Liverpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.08 xG 2.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
238 Passes 458
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Brentford Brentford 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
25.08.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
17.02.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.11.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
06.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
02.01.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Brentford 3-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
3-2
AWAY Liverpool
2.75 xG 2.30
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
201 Passes 490
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford nicked a narrow win over Liverpool 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Brentford had 34% of the ball to Liverpool's 66%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 2.75 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brentford and 2.17 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford 3-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brentford 26%, draw 22%, Liverpool 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
25 Oct 2025
17:00 Newcastle United vs Fulham Analysis →
17:00 Chelsea vs Sunderland Analysis →
19:30 Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →