Newcastle United 2-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

Newcastle United
2-1 HT 1-0
Fulham
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Newcastle United vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.06
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.8
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
8%
10.45
X/X
9%
5.37
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
8%
8.46
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.95/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.62
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
494 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.2 Crosses 20.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Newcastle United vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fulham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
432 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-2 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
21.09.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-1 HT 2-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
06.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
16.12.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.01.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
01.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Newcastle United 2-1 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
2-1
AWAY Fulham
2.14 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
381 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United nicked a narrow win over Fulham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Newcastle United had 51% of the ball to Fulham's 49%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.14 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newcastle United and 1.00 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Fulham?

Newcastle United 2-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 59%, draw 21%, Fulham 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
25 Oct 2025
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