Brentford 0-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

Brentford
0-2 HT 0-0
Liverpool
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
55%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.08
2-3 Goals
35%
2.21
4-5 Goals
31%
2.38
6+ Goals
16%
4.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
17.1
1/X
8%
16.85
X/1
10%
12.55
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
7%
8.14
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.75
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 17.1 — our 10% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
55%
Away Win
63%
-7.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brentford v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 67%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.63/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.11
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 85%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.3
18.7 Crosses 22.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Brentford vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Liverpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.08 xG 2.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
232 Passes 486
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
17.02.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.11.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
06.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
02.01.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
16.01.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP

Brentford 0-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
0-2
AWAY Liverpool
0.72 xG 3.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 37
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 15
252 Passes 423
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 61
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool saw off Brentford 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brentford had 39% of the ball to Liverpool's 61%, shots finished 11-37, expected goals 0.72 to 3.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brentford and 2.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford 0-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brentford 23%, draw 22%, Liverpool 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
18 Jan 2025
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