Leicester City 0-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.9
1/2
8%
22.55
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
10%
9.02
X/2
18%
4.41
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.28
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 12% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.11/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.88
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -64%
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
13.7 Crosses 41.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fulham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.63 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
08.05.2023 Fulham Fulham 5-3 HT 3-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
03.01.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
03.02.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-2 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
30.11.2020 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-2 Fulham Fulham İNP
09.03.2019 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
0-2
AWAY Fulham
0.64 xG 2.19
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
294 Passes 505
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham beat Leicester City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leicester City had 39% of the ball to Fulham's 61%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.64 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leicester City and 1.83 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Fulham?

Leicester City 0-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 25%, draw 27%, Fulham 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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