West Ham United 0-2 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
13%
16.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.85
X/2
9%
5.56
X/X
10%
4.31
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.7
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.44/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.14
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.0 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.12 xG 1.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
336 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-2 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
04.08.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
21.04.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5-2 HT 4-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
03.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
29.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4-3 HT 3-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
06.11.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
0-2
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.28 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
449 Passes 386
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace beat West Ham United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Crystal Palace found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, West Ham United had 53% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 47%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.28 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for West Ham United and 2.50 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Crystal Palace?

West Ham United 0-2 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 37%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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