Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 II v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
4-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
1-2
HT 1-0
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was SGV Freiberg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (66%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.83 for SGV Freiberg.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg?
Mainz 05 II 2-1 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg?
Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 32%, draw 27%, SGV Freiberg 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg) went the other way.