Gent 4-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.71
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
17%
7.52
X/X
9%
4.67
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
6%
5.71
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.48
+8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.6 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.26 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
10.11.2024 Gent Gent 5-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
18.05.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-4 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.03.2024 Gent Gent 5-1 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
02.03.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 4-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.10.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 3-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
4-0
AWAY Standard Liege
1.77 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent swept aside Standard Liege 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gent had 50% of the ball to Standard Liege's 50%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.77 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Gent and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Gent vs Standard Liege?

Gent 4-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gent 45%, draw 25%, Standard Liege 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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