Westerlo 1-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
11%
8.39
X/X
14%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
2/2
8%
5.85
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.95/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.91
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
23.0 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dender EH
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.10 xG 1.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
30.03.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
08.12.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.11.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
21.03.2009 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-1
AWAY Dender EH
1.97 xG 1.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
385 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
45 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and Dender EH couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Westerlo had 62% of the ball to Dender EH's 38%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.97 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Westerlo and 1.17 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Dender EH?

Westerlo 1-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 53%, draw 24%, Dender EH 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Over 2.5
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