Sparta Selemet 2-0 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
9.57
Draw
8%
5.71
Away
85%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.99
No
43%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
19%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
62%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
7%
-0.4pp
8%
Draw
14%
-6.0pp
85%
Away Win
79%
+6.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
46%
+10.7pp
43%
BTTS No
54%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 84%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.32/3.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.22
-45% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +101%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 4-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
06.07.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-2 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
26.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-3 HT 2-1 Sparta Selemet MOLD
16.03.2025 Sparta Selemet 2-3 HT 0-2 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
26.10.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
11.11.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-5 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
2-0
AWAY CSF Balti
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Selemet beat CSF Balti 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSF Balti at 85% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 31% of the ball to CSF Balti's 69%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSF Balti led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sparta Selemet and 3.00 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti?

Sparta Selemet 2-0 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 85%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 7%, draw 8%, CSF Balti 85%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
25 Oct 2025
17:00 Dacia-Buiucani vs Zimbru Analysis →