Benfica vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Benfica 5-0 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica cruised past Arouca 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, Benfica had 53% of the ball to Arouca's 47%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 3.84 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Benfica and 0.33 for Arouca.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Arouca?
Benfica 5-0 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Benfica 79%, draw 13%, Arouca 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.