Cultural Leonesa 4-3 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.51
Over
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.18
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
20%
5.02
6+
10%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas The Market 28%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.50/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.06
+7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Unionistas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Unionistas Unionistas 1-2 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.02.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-1 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
02.09.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 1-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
20.05.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
26.11.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 2-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
13.02.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 0-1 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa edged past Unionistas 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Unionistas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.00 for Unionistas.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Unionistas?

Cultural Leonesa 4-3 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 46%, draw 28%, Unionistas 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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