AlbinoLeffe 0-3 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.25
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.81
6+
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio The Market 30%
-12% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.07/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.11
-17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-2 HT 0-2 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
01.03.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
24.10.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
29.01.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
26.09.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
07.02.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
0-3
AWAY GIANA Erminio
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio swept aside AlbinoLeffe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day GIANA Erminio made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 52% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 48%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.33 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs GIANA Erminio?

AlbinoLeffe 0-3 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 37%, draw 32%, GIANA Erminio 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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