Caldiero Terme 2-0 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.71
Over
57%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.66
2-3
36%
1.71
4-5
30%
3.93
6+
9%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.1pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
55%
-11.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
45%
+11.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.7pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC The Market 49%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.60/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.00
-44% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Trento AC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 1-0 HT 1-0 Caldiero Terme İTC
17.08.2024 Caldiero Terme 2-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
2-0
AWAY Trento AC
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme saw off Trento AC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Trento AC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 31% of the ball to Trento AC's 69%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caldiero Terme and 0.50 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Trento AC?

Caldiero Terme 2-0 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 34%, draw 22%, Trento AC 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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