SS Monopoli 3-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.51
Over
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.14
2-3
42%
1.74
4-5
20%
5.14
6+
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese The Market 26%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.26/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Cavese
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
21.02.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
25.10.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
24.11.2019 Cavese Cavese 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
3-1
AWAY Cavese
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli saw off Cavese 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 49% of the ball to Cavese's 51%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for SS Monopoli and 0.25 for Cavese.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Cavese?

SS Monopoli 3-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 45%, draw 26%, Cavese 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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