Ternana 2-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No Pick
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.46
2-3
42%
1.72
4-5
22%
4.29
6+
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro The Market 19%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
2.89/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.53
+68% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Ternana Ternana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
2-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana edged past Vis Pesaro 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ternana had 60% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 40%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Vis Pesaro?

Ternana 2-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ternana 50%, draw 31%, Vis Pesaro 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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