Penafiel vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Vizela — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Penafiel 1-1 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel and Vizela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Penafiel had 38% of the ball to Vizela's 62%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.40 to 2.94.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Penafiel and 1.80 for Vizela.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Vizela?
Penafiel 1-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Vizela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 34%, draw 28%, Vizela 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vizela) went the other way.