Porto II 2-2 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.6
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.38
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.46
6+
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela The Market 48%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.18/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.06
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Tondela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
477 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Tondela Tondela 2-2 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
21.01.2024 Tondela Tondela 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
13.08.2023 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
22.05.2023 Tondela Tondela 0-1 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
15.01.2023 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
05.11.2014 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
2-2
AWAY Tondela
1.57 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 10
292 Passes 175
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II and Tondela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Porto II had 58% of the ball to Tondela's 42%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.57 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Porto II and 0.83 for Tondela.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Tondela?

Porto II 2-2 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Porto II 31%, draw 33%, Tondela 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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