Uniao De Leiria vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Uniao De Leiria 1-0 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria edged past Portimonense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 53% of the ball to Portimonense's 47%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.84 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 0.60 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Portimonense?
Uniao De Leiria 1-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 47%, draw 29%, Portimonense 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.