Mafra 0-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.72
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
22%
3.83
6+
10%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense The Market 26%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.48/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.76
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
1W-3D-2L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
27.04.2024 Mafra Mafra 3-3 HT 2-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
17.12.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-3 HT 0-2 Mafra Mafra POR2
29.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 2-3 HT 0-2 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
06.08.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.04.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
0-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
0.64 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
142 Passes 152
56% Pass Accuracy 57%
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra and UD Oliveirense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mafra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mafra had 46% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 54%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.64 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mafra and 1.67 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Mafra vs UD Oliveirense?

Mafra 0-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mafra 45%, draw 28%, UD Oliveirense 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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