Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-2
Estoril
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
3-1
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR
Estoril 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril edged past Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Estoril had 43% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 57%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estoril and 2.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Estoril 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estoril 27%, draw 26%, Vitoria Guimaraes 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Over 2.5 went the other way.