Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
33%
4-5
28%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Çaykur Rizespor win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.6pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor The Market 14%
+22% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.47/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.06
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.0 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
278 Passes 280
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
13.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
13.08.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.12.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-4 HT 0-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
06.02.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
18.09.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3-2
AWAY Adana Demirspor
3.69 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
385 Passes 252
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor edged past Adana Demirspor 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 57% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 3.69 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Çaykur Rizespor's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.00 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Adana Demirspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 59%, draw 21%, Adana Demirspor 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Over 2.5
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