Antalyaspor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.15
Over
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.08
2-3
39%
1.84
4-5
20%
2.91
6+
11%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.08 — our 30% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.92
1/2
6%
21.6
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
9%
8.34
X/2
11%
4.69
X/X
11%
5.41
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
32%
2.43
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş The Market 54%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.16/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.21
-8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.0 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
225 Passes 386
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-2 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
16.03.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
08.02.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TÜK
05.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.05.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
26.02.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.56 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
322 Passes 399
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor and Beşiktaş couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 46% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 54%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.56 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Antalyaspor and 2.00 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Antalyaspor 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 25%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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