Managua 1-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.7pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
2.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.07
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Managua Managua 4-2 HT 1-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
12.08.2024 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.04.2024 Managua Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-3 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
09.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
13.08.2023 Managua Managua 3-4 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
1-0
AWAY Export Sebaco
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua squeezed past Export Sebaco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Managua had 54% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 46%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Managua and 2.00 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Managua 1-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Managua 65%, draw 17%, Export Sebaco 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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