Azerbaycan U21 0-3 Ukrayna U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-10.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.88/3.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.23
+52% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +149%
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
216 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 522 · 86%
7.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.8 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azerbaycan U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ukrayna U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan U21
0-3
AWAY Ukrayna U21
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 12
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan U21 vs Ukrayna U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U21 cruised past Azerbaycan U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ukrayna U21 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Azerbaycan U21 had 32% of the ball to Ukrayna U21's 68%, shots finished 3-12.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Azerbaycan U21 0-3 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan U21 17%, draw 23%, Ukrayna U21 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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