Kazakistan U21 0-3 Macaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.96/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.18
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Macaristan U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.66 xG 1.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
271 Passes 453
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.09.2023 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan U21
0-3
AWAY Macaristan U21
0.23 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
312 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kazakistan U21 vs Macaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan U21 cruised past Kazakistan U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macaristan U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kazakistan U21 had 49% of the ball to Macaristan U21's 51%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.23 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Kazakistan U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Kazakistan U21 0-3 Macaristan U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan U21 26%, draw 30%, Macaristan U21 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macaristan U21), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macaristan U21) ✓ BTTS No
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