Karadağ U21 1-2 Finlandiya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
30%
+12.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.55/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.28
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 15.0
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ U21
1-2
AWAY Finlandiya U21
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karadağ U21 vs Finlandiya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya U21 edged past Karadağ U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karadağ U21 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karadağ U21 had 38% of the ball to Finlandiya U21's 62%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Karadağ U21 vs Finlandiya U21?

Karadağ U21 1-2 Finlandiya U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ U21 vs Finlandiya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karadağ U21 42%, draw 23%, Finlandiya U21 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karadağ U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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