Ermenistan U21 0-1 Romanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.91
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.2pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.66/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.65
-19% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.0
Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan U21
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Romanya U21
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.10.2023 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
08.09.2015 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 2-3 HT 0-2 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 U21
16.06.2015 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan U21
0-1
AWAY Romanya U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ermenistan U21 vs Romanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U21 nicked a narrow win over Ermenistan U21 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Romanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ermenistan U21 had 52% of the ball to Romanya U21's 48%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Romanya U21 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ermenistan U21 and 2.67 for Romanya U21.

What was the final score of Ermenistan U21 vs Romanya U21?

Ermenistan U21 0-1 Romanya U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan U21 vs Romanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Romanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan U21 18%, draw 27%, Romanya U21 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya U21), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Romanya U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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