Kolombiya vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kolombiya v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals
Kolombiya vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kolombiya
DKE
2-0
HT 1-0
Paraguay
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Paraguay
DKE
1-1
HT 1-0
Kolombiya
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Paraguay
AKU
Kolombiya 2-2 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics
Kolombiya and Paraguay couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Kolombiya carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kolombiya had 61% of the ball to Paraguay's 39%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 2.16 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kolombiya and 0.33 for Paraguay.
What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Paraguay?
Kolombiya 2-2 Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Paraguay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 58%, draw 26%, Paraguay 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.