Curzon Ashton 1-1 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.97
Over
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No Pick
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
34%
3.43
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.23
6+
7%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.43 — our 34% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.80
-18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leamington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Leamington Leamington 4-1 HT 2-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
04.03.2023 Leamington Leamington 4-1 HT 2-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
08.11.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
30.04.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
04.09.2021 Leamington Leamington 0-3 HT 0-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
21.11.2020 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-2 Leamington Leamington İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-1
AWAY Leamington
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton and Leamington couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Curzon Ashton at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 62% of the ball to Leamington's 38%, shots finished 25-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leamington led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Curzon Ashton and 2.17 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Leamington?

Curzon Ashton 1-1 Leamington in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 51%, draw 24%, Leamington 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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