Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.51
Over
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.0
2-3
40%
1.95
4-5
28%
2.62
6+
11%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-13.6pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.26/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.70
+13% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chesham United
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 0-5 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Chesham United
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers got the better of Chesham United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 58% of the ball to Chesham United's 42%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United?

Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 54%, draw 29%, Chesham United 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Apr 2025
17:00 Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
17:00 Slough Town vs Hampton & Richmond Analysis →
17:00 Enfield Town vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Truro City vs St. Albans City Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Boreham Wood Analysis →