Kings Lynn Town 0-3 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.6
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.38
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
13%
4.6
6+
6%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.38 — our 35% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.16/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.60
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Chester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 1-1 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
27.01.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
12.08.2023 Chester Chester 3-0 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
11.02.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
03.09.2022 Chester Chester 3-3 HT 0-3 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
18.02.2020 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 1-1 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
0-3
AWAY Chester
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester cruised past Kings Lynn Town 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kings Lynn Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 51% of the ball to Chester's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 1.83 for Chester.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Chester?

Kings Lynn Town 0-3 Chester in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 48%, draw 28%, Chester 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kings Lynn Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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