Marine 4-1 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.95
Over
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.41
2-3
44%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.24
6+
7%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.76/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.59
-46% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
0W-1D-2L
AWAY South Shields
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 South Shields South Shields 2-0 HT 2-0 Marine Marine İCON
07.01.2023 South Shields South Shields 2-1 HT 1-1 Marine Marine İNGNLP
20.08.2022 Marine Marine 2-2 HT 0-1 South Shields South Shields İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
4-1
AWAY South Shields
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marine vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine swept aside South Shields 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Marine made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marine had 46% of the ball to South Shields's 54%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, South Shields led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marine and 2.00 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Marine vs South Shields?

Marine 4-1 South Shields in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marine 40%, draw 25%, South Shields 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marine) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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