Weymouth 1-6 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over Pick
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.98
2-3
37%
1.83
4-5
25%
2.93
6+
13%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.62/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.14
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
10.02.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
26.08.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-3 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
21.01.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.08.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-1 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
30.09.2017 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth FAK
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City cruised past Weymouth 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Weymouth at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Weymouth and 1.83 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Chelmsford City?

Weymouth 1-6 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weymouth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 45%, draw 24%, Chelmsford City 31%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weymouth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weymouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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