Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
6+ Goals
13%
17.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.6pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.09/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.64
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.03.2025 Spartans Spartans 3-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
21.01.2025 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.08.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
20.04.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
05.03.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
24.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic squeezed past Spartans 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 2.00 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 33%, draw 31%, Spartans 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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