Elgin City 3-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.70/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.70
+6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 2
15.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
02.11.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
24.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.01.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City ran out comfortable winners over Stranraer 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elgin City and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Elgin City 3-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 53%, draw 24%, Stranraer 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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