Burton Albion 2-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.82
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
10%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.51
X/2
13%
7.71
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
10%
6.13
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.41/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.06
-12% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 70%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.8 Crosses 18.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
192 Passes 333
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
27.01.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
03.05.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
27.08.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 4-3 HT 1-2 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
12.02.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
2-1
AWAY Cambridge United
0.19 xG 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
210 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion edged past Cambridge United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burton Albion as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 43% of the ball to Cambridge United's 57%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.19 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burton Albion and 1.33 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Cambridge United?

Burton Albion 2-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 46%, draw 25%, Cambridge United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burton Albion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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