Cambridge United 1-0 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.2
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.67
6+
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.73
X/2
9%
6.47
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
15%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 15% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.49/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.40
-19% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
344 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 65%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.1 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 182
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
03.05.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
27.08.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 4-3 HT 1-2 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
12.02.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
21.08.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-0
AWAY Burton Albion
1.16 xG 0.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
235 Passes 283
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United edged past Burton Albion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cambridge United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 45% of the ball to Burton Albion's 55%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.16 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cambridge United and 1.33 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Burton Albion?

Cambridge United 1-0 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 44%, draw 27%, Burton Albion 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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