Crawley Town vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-3
HT 1-2
Northampton Town
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN2
4-0
HT 1-0
Northampton Town
İN2
Crawley Town 3-0 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town cruised past Northampton Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Crawley Town made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 64% of the ball to Northampton Town's 36%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.55 to 0.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crawley Town and 1.17 for Northampton Town.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Northampton Town?
Crawley Town 3-0 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Northampton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 39%, draw 26%, Northampton Town 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.