Peterborough United 1-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over Pick
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.37
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
25%
2.78
6+
12%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.07
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
14.5 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
285 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
23.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
11.02.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-5 HT 0-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
17.09.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
14.12.2019 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
28.07.2018 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-2 HT 0-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.98 xG 2.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
425 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 45
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 59% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 41%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 2.98 to 2.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Peterborough United and 1.67 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Peterborough United 1-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 36%, draw 24%, Bolton Wanderers 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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