Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Peterborough United
İN1
0-5
HT 0-2
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Peterborough United
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
0-2
HT 0-2
Bolton Wanderers
HAZ
3-0
HT 1-0
Peterborough United
İN1
Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Peterborough United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 58% of the ball to Peterborough United's 42%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 3.01 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bolton Wanderers's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.33 for Peterborough United.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough United?
Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 45%, draw 26%, Peterborough United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.