Stockport County vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stockport County v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Stockport County vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
Lincoln City
HAZ
2-0
HT 0-0
Lincoln City
İBSL
3-3
HT 1-0
Stockport County
İBSL
4-0
HT 2-0
Lincoln City
İBSL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stockport County
İBSL
Stockport County 3-2 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Stockport County nicked a narrow win over Lincoln City 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stockport County had 61% of the ball to Lincoln City's 39%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.47 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stockport County's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.17 for Lincoln City.
What was the final score of Stockport County vs Lincoln City?
Stockport County 3-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 44%, draw 30%, Lincoln City 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.